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Journal article
Forecasting the 2008 presidential election: A challenge for the fiscal model
PS: Political Science & Politics, Vol.41(4), pp.717-722
41
2008
Web of Science ID: WOS:000259794800010
Abstract
n 2004, for the first time the fiscal model was employed for the purpose of real-time, ex ante forecasting of a presidential election. The results were encouraging (Cuzán and Bundrick 2005). This year, however, the model encounters a set of challenging conditions, relevant only to it, never seen in the data before. In this paper, we briefly summarize the model, describe the problem, wrestle with ways to address it, and conclude with a forecast for November.
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Details
- Title
- Forecasting the 2008 presidential election
- Publication Details
- PS: Political Science & Politics, Vol.41(4), pp.717-722
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press; United Kingdom
- Series
- 41
- Format
- 1 file; .pdf
- Copyright
- © The American Political Science Association 2008
- Identifiers
- WOS:000259794800010; 99380090354906600
- Academic Unit
- Reubin O'D. Askew Department of Government ; College of Arts, Social Sciences, and Humanities
- Language
- English