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Journal article
Fiscal Model Forecast for the 2016 Presidential Election
The Polly Vote
2016
Abstract
The Fiscal Model of Presidential Elections, as modified after its failure to forecast President Obama's reelection in 2012, accounts for all but three out of sample retrodictions since 1916. This year, its point forecast has the incumbent Democrats losing with 48.2% of the two-party vote
Details
- Title
- Fiscal Model Forecast for the 2016 Presidential Election
- Publication Details
- The Polly Vote
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publisher
- pollyvote.com
- Format
- link
- Number of pages
- 11
- Identifiers
- 99380171972806600
- Academic Unit
- College of Arts, Social Sciences, and Humanities; Reubin O'D. Askew Department of Government
- Language
- English